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The Wuhan SARS‐CoV‐2—What's next for China

The Chinese New Year is associated with a number of customs; among these is returning home for an annual reunion dinner. [...]traveling home had already begun by the time Chinese authorities attempted to curtail the spread of the coronavirus by extending the lunar new year holidays and suspending tr...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Journal of Medical Virology 2020-06, Vol.92 (6), p.546-547
Main Authors: Lu, Hongzhou, Stratton, Charles W., Tang, Yi‐Wei
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:The Chinese New Year is associated with a number of customs; among these is returning home for an annual reunion dinner. [...]traveling home had already begun by the time Chinese authorities attempted to curtail the spread of the coronavirus by extending the lunar new year holidays and suspending travel.14 This made control measure of the outbreak more difficult. Efficient human‐to‐human transmission is required for large‐scale spread (ie, an epidemic or pandemic) of any emerging virus. [...]the basic reproductive ratio during this epidemic needs to be determined; the basic reproductive ratio is defined as the average number of secondary cases that an infected person produces during their entire infectious period in a susceptible and uninfected population.15 The case‐fatality rate needs to be accurately determined; the case‐fatality rate of the SARS‐CoV was around 11%. Another issue in the long term that needs to be addressed is the potential of novel coronaviruses to spread within medical centers to health care workers as has happened with SARS‐CoV and MERS‐CoV.22-24 Most medical centers, whether in China or in the United States, are not prepared for such a problem. First case of 2019 novel coronavirus in the United States.
ISSN:0146-6615
1096-9071
DOI:10.1002/jmv.25738