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Modeling hydrologic and ecologic responses using a new eco-hydrological model for identification of droughts

Drought severely damages water and agricultural resources, and both hydrological and ecological responses are important for its understanding. First, precipitation deficit induces soil moisture deficiency and high plant water stress causing agricultural droughts. Second, hydrological drought charact...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Water resources research 2014-07, Vol.50 (7), p.6214-6235
Main Authors: Sawada, Yohei, Koike, Toshio, Jaranilla-Sanchez, Patricia Ann
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:Drought severely damages water and agricultural resources, and both hydrological and ecological responses are important for its understanding. First, precipitation deficit induces soil moisture deficiency and high plant water stress causing agricultural droughts. Second, hydrological drought characterized by deficit of river discharge and groundwater follows agricultural drought. However, contributions of vegetation dynamics to these processes at basin scale have not been quantified. To address this issue, we develop an eco‐hydrological model that can calculate river discharge, groundwater, energy flux, and vegetation dynamics as diagnostic variables at basin scale within a distributed hydrological modeling framework. The model is applied to drought analysis in the Medjerda River basin. From model inputs and outputs, we calculate drought indices for different drought types. The model shows reliable accuracy in reproducing observed river discharge in long‐term (19 year) simulation. Moreover, the drought index calculated from the model‐estimated annual peak of leaf area index correlates well (correlation coefficient r = 0.89) with the drought index from nationwide annual crop production, which demonstrates that the modeled leaf area index is capable of representing agricultural droughts related to historical food shortages. We show that vegetation dynamics have a more rapid response to meteorological droughts than river discharge and groundwater dynamics in the Medjerda basin because vegetation dynamics are sensitive to soil moisture in surface layers, whereas soil moisture in deeper layers strongly contributes to streamflow and groundwater level. Our modeling framework can contribute to analyze drought progress, although analyses for other climate conditions are needed. Key Points We develop a new eco‐hydrological model that can reproduce historical droughts We quantify ecological responses to severe droughts by modeling plant growth The response of agricultural drought is faster than that of hydrological one
ISSN:0043-1397
1944-7973
DOI:10.1002/2013WR014847