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Using a delphi technique to determine the likelihood and tourism impact of a Chikungunya outbreak in the United States

The Delphi technique is a qualitative technique which consists of a series of systematic steps to combine the knowledge and opinion of experts regarding a specific topic and reach a consensus as a means of scenario building and forecasting. This technique is rarely used in tourism, albeit it has bee...

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Published in:Current issues in tourism 2023-11, Vol.26 (21), p.3439-3443
Main Authors: Basurto-Cedeno, Estefania, Pennington-Gray, Lori, Court, Christa D., Ferreira, João-Pedro
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:The Delphi technique is a qualitative technique which consists of a series of systematic steps to combine the knowledge and opinion of experts regarding a specific topic and reach a consensus as a means of scenario building and forecasting. This technique is rarely used in tourism, albeit it has been recommended since 1990 (Green, H., Hunter, C., & Moore, B. [1990]. Assessing the environmental impact of tourism development: Use of the Delphi technique. Tourism Management, 11(2), 111-120). The goal of this research note is to demonstrate use of the Delphi technique as a means of building a richer depth of understanding about the likelihood of a Chikungunya outbreak and the impact to the tourism industry.
ISSN:1368-3500
1747-7603
DOI:10.1080/13683500.2023.2177833