Are the Insurgencies Truly Over?(The End of the Syrian Civil War)

While the so-called Islamic State (ISIS) has lost control of its statelet in Iraq and Syria, the war against the remnants of the organization is not over, despite President Trump's claim to the contrary. 1 Anti-Assad rebels still control various parts of Syria with non-ISIS jihadis controlling...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:	Middle East quarterly 2019-06, Vol.26 (3), p.1-11
Main Author:	McCabe, Thomas R
Format:	Magazinearticle
Language:	eng
Subjects:	Arab people Assad, Bashar al Capabilities Counterinsurgency De-escalation Escalation Governance Insurgency Iran Iraq Islam Islamic militants Kurdish people Kurds Militia groups Presidents Rebellions Religion Syria War
Online Access:	Get full text
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Summary:	While the so-called Islamic State (ISIS) has lost control of its statelet in Iraq and Syria, the war against the remnants of the organization is not over, despite President Trump's claim to the contrary. 1 Anti-Assad rebels still control various parts of Syria with non-ISIS jihadis controlling Idlib in the northwest and the Kurds commanding the northeast. Fighting over these enclaves will likely occupy the immediate future. In addition, any "de-escalation" agreements remain subject to collapse or cancellation at the convenience of Assad and his backers. While ISIS and other groups have made preparations for going underground to resume an insurgency, the success of such efforts depends on at least two factors: how well the Syrian and Iraqi governments reestablish effective governance and security and are able to identify and root out the rebel infrastructures. The capabilities of both the Syrian and Iraqi governments are limited; their ability to effectively govern and conduct long-term counterinsurgencies is uncertain.
ISSN:	1073-9467 2767-049X