THE EXPECTED VALUE FALLACY IN STATE V. WRIGHT

[...]it is worth exploring the expert's reasoning in the Wright case. [...]looking at the DNA evidence in isolation, we can conclude that 26.4/63.2 = 41.8% of the populations with 1 or more people with the minor profile have at least 2 people with this profile.

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Jurimetrics (Chicago, Ill.) Ill.), 2011-09, Vol.52 (1), p.1-6
Main Author: Kaye, David H.
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Deoxyribonucleic acid
DNA
DNA fingerprinting
Due process of law
Evaluation
Evidence, Expert
Expected values
Forensic sciences
Fraud
Genetic testing
Juries
Laws, regulations and rules
Population mean
Probabilities
Probability
Prosecuting attorneys
Random variables
SciTech Corner
State court decisions
Statistics
Testimony
Women
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Description
Summary:[...]it is worth exploring the expert's reasoning in the Wright case. [...]looking at the DNA evidence in isolation, we can conclude that 26.4/63.2 = 41.8% of the populations with 1 or more people with the minor profile have at least 2 people with this profile.
ISSN:0897-1277
2154-4344