An analysis of the domestic resumption of social production and life under the COVID-19 epidemic

Population migration and urban traffic are two important aspects of the socioeconomic system. We analyze the trends of social production and resumption of life after the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-influenced Spring Festival in 2020 with statistics on reported cases of COVID-19 from China�...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:PloS one 2020-07, Vol.15 (7), p.e0236387
Main Authors: Xu, Xinliang, Wang, Shihao, Dong, Jinhui, Shen, Zhicheng, Xu, Shuwan
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Analysis
Automobile Driving
Betacoronavirus
Big Data
China
China - epidemiology
Cities
City traffic
Coronavirus Infections - epidemiology
Coronaviruses
COVID-19
Disease transmission
Driving conditions
Earth Sciences
Economic activity
Economic aspects
Economic development
Economic growth
Economic recovery
Engineering and Technology
Epidemics
Festivals
Government regulations
Human Activities - statistics & numerical data
Humans
Information systems
Laboratories
Local government
Medical research
Medicine and Health Sciences
Municipalities
Natural resources
Pandemics
People and Places
Pneumonia, Viral - epidemiology
Population
Population density
Prevention
Public awareness
Researchers
SARS-CoV-2
Social aspects
Social change
Social Sciences
Socio-economic aspects
Socioeconomic factors
Spatio-Temporal Analysis
Statistical analysis
Tourism
Traffic
Travel
Travel - statistics & numerical data
Urban areas
Urbanization
Viral diseases
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Summary:Population migration and urban traffic are two important aspects of the socioeconomic system. We analyze the trends of social production and resumption of life after the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-influenced Spring Festival in 2020 with statistics on reported cases of COVID-19 from China's National Health Commission and big data from Baidu Migration (a platform collecting population migration data). We find that (1) the distribution of COVID-19 cases throughout mainland China has a specific spatial pattern. Provinces in eastern China have more reported cases than those in western China, and provinces adjacent to Hubei have more confirmed COVID-19 cases than nonadjacent provinces. Densely populated regions with well-developed economies and transportation are more likely to have cluster infection incidents. (2) The COVID-19 epidemic severely impacts the return of the migrant population in the Spring Festival travel rush, as demonstrated by the significant reduction in the return scale, along with the extended timespan and uncertainty regarding the end of the travel rush. Among 33 provinces, special administrative regions, autonomous regions and municipalities, 23 of them (approximately 70%) have a return rate below 60%. Hubei, Hong Kong, Xinjiang, and Inner Mongolia have the lowest return rates (below 5%), whereas the return rates in Hainan and Shandong, 272.72% and 97.35%, respectively, indicate the best trend of resumption. Due to government regulations, the population return in densely populated and well-developed regions shows a positive trend. (3) The resumption of urban traffic is slow and varies greatly in different regions. The urban traffic conditions in 22 provinces and municipalities have a more than 60% level of resumption. Guizhou and Yunnan have the highest level of resumption of urban traffic, whereas Xinjiang, Hubei, and Heilongjiang have the lowest (29.37%, 35.76%, and 37.90%, respectively). However, provinces and municipalities with well-developed intercity traffic have a lower level of resumption, mainly because of regulatory methods such as lockdowns and traffic restrictions. The increased public awareness of epidemic prevention and the decreased frequency of outdoor activities are also two positive factors slowing the spread of the epidemic. (4) Time will be necessary to fully resume social production and life throughout China. Xining and Jinan have the highest levels of resumption, 82.14% and 71.51%, respectively. Urumqi and Wu
ISSN:1932-6203
1932-6203
DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0236387