The evolution of electricity demand and the role for demand side participation, in buildings and transport

This paper explores the possible evolution of UK electricity demand as we move along three potential transition pathways to a low carbon economy in 2050. The shift away from fossil fuels through the electrification of demand is discussed, particularly through the uptake of heat pumps and electric ve...

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Main Authors:	John Barton, Sikai Huang, David Infield, Matthew Leach, Damiete Ogunkunle, Jacopo Torriti, Murray Thomson
Format:	Default Article
Published:	2013
Subjects:	Transition Pathways Demand side management
Online Access:	https://hdl.handle.net/2134/11762
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id	rr-article-9564296
record_format	Figshare
spelling	rr-article-95642962013-01-01T00:00:00Z The evolution of electricity demand and the role for demand side participation, in buildings and transport John Barton (1252113) Sikai Huang (7212551) David Infield (7183166) Matthew Leach (1606573) Damiete Ogunkunle (7212554) Jacopo Torriti (689126) Murray Thomson (1171623) Transition Pathways Demand side management This paper explores the possible evolution of UK electricity demand as we move along three potential transition pathways to a low carbon economy in 2050. The shift away from fossil fuels through the electrification of demand is discussed, particularly through the uptake of heat pumps and electric vehicles in the domestic and passenger transport sectors. Developments in the way people and institutions may use energy along each of the pathways are also considered and provide a rationale for the quantification of future annual electricity demands in various broad sectors. The paper then presents detailed modelling of hourly balancing of these demands in the context of potential low carbon generation mixes associated with the three pathways. In all cases, hourly balancing is shown to be a significant challenge. To minimise the need for conventional generation to operate with very low capacity factors, a variety of demand side participation measures are modelled and shown to provide significant benefits. Lastly, projections of operational greenhouse gas emissions from the UK and the imports of fossil fuels to the UK for each of the three pathways are presented. 2013-01-01T00:00:00Z Text Journal contribution 2134/11762 https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/The_evolution_of_electricity_demand_and_the_role_for_demand_side_participation_in_buildings_and_transport/9564296 CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
institution	Loughborough University
collection	Figshare
topic	Transition Pathways Demand side management
spellingShingle	Transition Pathways Demand side management John Barton Sikai Huang David Infield Matthew Leach Damiete Ogunkunle Jacopo Torriti Murray Thomson The evolution of electricity demand and the role for demand side participation, in buildings and transport
description	This paper explores the possible evolution of UK electricity demand as we move along three potential transition pathways to a low carbon economy in 2050. The shift away from fossil fuels through the electrification of demand is discussed, particularly through the uptake of heat pumps and electric vehicles in the domestic and passenger transport sectors. Developments in the way people and institutions may use energy along each of the pathways are also considered and provide a rationale for the quantification of future annual electricity demands in various broad sectors. The paper then presents detailed modelling of hourly balancing of these demands in the context of potential low carbon generation mixes associated with the three pathways. In all cases, hourly balancing is shown to be a significant challenge. To minimise the need for conventional generation to operate with very low capacity factors, a variety of demand side participation measures are modelled and shown to provide significant benefits. Lastly, projections of operational greenhouse gas emissions from the UK and the imports of fossil fuels to the UK for each of the three pathways are presented.
format	Default Article
author	John Barton Sikai Huang David Infield Matthew Leach Damiete Ogunkunle Jacopo Torriti Murray Thomson
author_facet	John Barton Sikai Huang David Infield Matthew Leach Damiete Ogunkunle Jacopo Torriti Murray Thomson
author_sort	John Barton (1252113)
title	The evolution of electricity demand and the role for demand side participation, in buildings and transport
title_short	The evolution of electricity demand and the role for demand side participation, in buildings and transport
title_full	The evolution of electricity demand and the role for demand side participation, in buildings and transport
title_fullStr	The evolution of electricity demand and the role for demand side participation, in buildings and transport
title_full_unstemmed	The evolution of electricity demand and the role for demand side participation, in buildings and transport
title_sort	evolution of electricity demand and the role for demand side participation, in buildings and transport
publishDate	2013
url	https://hdl.handle.net/2134/11762
_version_	1798645348828184576

The evolution of electricity demand and the role for demand side participation, in buildings and transport

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