The role of time-varying rare disaster risks in predicting bond returns and volatility

This paper aims to provide empirical evidence to the theoretical claim that rare disaster risks affect government bond market movements. Using a nonparametric quantiles-based methodology, we show that rare disaster-risks affect only volatility, but not returns, of 10-year government bond of the Unit...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Rangan Gupta, Tahir Suleman, Mark Wohar
Format: Default Article
Published: 2018
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Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/2134/37194
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