Systemic financial crises and the housing market cycle
Using quarterly data for a group of 20 industrialized countries and both continuous- and discrete-time duration models, we show that financial crisis recessions are associated with a two- to three-fold increase in the likelihood of the end of a housing boom. Additionally, recessions preceded by boom...
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| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Default Article |
| Published: |
2017
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/2134/26123 |
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| Summary: | Using quarterly data for a group of 20 industrialized countries and both continuous- and discrete-time duration models, we show that financial crisis recessions are associated with a two- to three-fold increase in the likelihood of the end of a housing boom. Additionally, recessions preceded by booms in mortgage credit are especially damaging, as their occurrence coincides with an increase in the duration of housing market slumps of almost 90%. |
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