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Modelling outcomes after paediatric brain injury with admission laboratory values: a machine-learning approach
Severe traumatic brain injury (TBI) is a leading cause of mortality in children, but the accurate prediction of outcomes at the point of admission remains very challenging. Admission laboratory results are a promising potential source of prognostic data, but have not been widely explored in paediatr...
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Published in: | Pediatric research 2019-11, Vol.86 (5), p.641-645 |
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container_title | Pediatric research |
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creator | Kayhanian, Saeed Young, Adam M H Mangla, Chaitanya Jalloh, Ibrahim Fernandes, Helen M Garnett, Matthew R Hutchinson, Peter J Agrawal, Shruti |
description | Severe traumatic brain injury (TBI) is a leading cause of mortality in children, but the accurate prediction of outcomes at the point of admission remains very challenging. Admission laboratory results are a promising potential source of prognostic data, but have not been widely explored in paediatric cohorts. Herein, we use machine-learning methods to analyse 14 different serum parameters together and develop a prognostic model to predict 6-month outcomes in children with severe TBI.
A retrospective review of patients admitted to Cambridge University Hospital's Paediatric Intensive Care Unit between 2009 and 2013 with a TBI. The data for 14 admission serum parameters were recorded. Logistic regression and a support vector machine (SVM) were trained with these data against dichotimised outcomes from the recorded 6-month Glasgow Outcome Scale.
Ninety-four patients were identified. Admission levels of lactate, H+, and glucose were identified as being the most informative of 6-month outcomes. Four different models were produced. The SVM using just the three most informative parameters was the best able to predict favourable outcomes at 6 months (sensitivity = 80%, specificity = 99%).
Our results demonstrate the potential for highly accurate outcome prediction after severe paediatric TBI using admission laboratory data. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1038/s41390-019-0510-9 |
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A retrospective review of patients admitted to Cambridge University Hospital's Paediatric Intensive Care Unit between 2009 and 2013 with a TBI. The data for 14 admission serum parameters were recorded. Logistic regression and a support vector machine (SVM) were trained with these data against dichotimised outcomes from the recorded 6-month Glasgow Outcome Scale.
Ninety-four patients were identified. Admission levels of lactate, H+, and glucose were identified as being the most informative of 6-month outcomes. Four different models were produced. The SVM using just the three most informative parameters was the best able to predict favourable outcomes at 6 months (sensitivity = 80%, specificity = 99%).
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A retrospective review of patients admitted to Cambridge University Hospital's Paediatric Intensive Care Unit between 2009 and 2013 with a TBI. The data for 14 admission serum parameters were recorded. Logistic regression and a support vector machine (SVM) were trained with these data against dichotimised outcomes from the recorded 6-month Glasgow Outcome Scale.
Ninety-four patients were identified. Admission levels of lactate, H+, and glucose were identified as being the most informative of 6-month outcomes. Four different models were produced. The SVM using just the three most informative parameters was the best able to predict favourable outcomes at 6 months (sensitivity = 80%, specificity = 99%).
Our results demonstrate the potential for highly accurate outcome prediction after severe paediatric TBI using admission laboratory data.</description><subject>Brain Injuries - therapy</subject><subject>Child</subject><subject>Female</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Machine Learning</subject><subject>Male</subject><subject>Medical prognosis</subject><subject>Medical tests</subject><subject>Patient Admission</subject><subject>Patient admissions</subject><subject>Pediatrics</subject><subject>Traumatic brain injury</subject><subject>Treatment Outcome</subject><issn>0031-3998</issn><issn>1530-0447</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2019</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNpdUbtOxDAQtBAIjoMPoEGWaGgCtjcv0yHESzpEA7W1cRzwKbEPOwHd3-PTAQXVSruzs7MzhJxwdsEZ1Jcx5yBZxrjMWMFZJnfIjBeQOnle7ZIZY8AzkLI-IIcxLhnjeVHn--QAOOQSSjYj7sm3pu-te6N-GrUfTKTYjSbQFZrW4hispk1A66h1yyms6Zcd3ym2g43Rekd7bHzA0afJJ_aTiVcU6YD63TqT9QaD23DjahV8ah6RvQ77aI5_6py83t2-3Dxki-f7x5vrRaahEmMmRFk1pkWQNYBBzmQloISG1xJMU-qGJUCRd7xgyOtSlEyIznSdrmVjtOAwJ-db3nT2I4kaVdKr06PojJ-iSgeKCmSRXJiTs3_QpZ-CS-qUSD5VZTKzTii-RengYwymU6tgBwxrxZnahKG2YagUhtqEoTbMpz_MUzOY9m_j1334BtckhVg</recordid><startdate>20191101</startdate><enddate>20191101</enddate><creator>Kayhanian, Saeed</creator><creator>Young, Adam M H</creator><creator>Mangla, Chaitanya</creator><creator>Jalloh, Ibrahim</creator><creator>Fernandes, Helen M</creator><creator>Garnett, Matthew R</creator><creator>Hutchinson, Peter J</creator><creator>Agrawal, Shruti</creator><general>Nature Publishing Group</general><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>3V.</scope><scope>7X7</scope><scope>7XB</scope><scope>88E</scope><scope>8C1</scope><scope>8FI</scope><scope>8FJ</scope><scope>8FK</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>FYUFA</scope><scope>GHDGH</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>M0S</scope><scope>M1P</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>PRINS</scope><scope>7X8</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20191101</creationdate><title>Modelling outcomes after paediatric brain injury with admission laboratory values: a machine-learning approach</title><author>Kayhanian, Saeed ; 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Admission laboratory results are a promising potential source of prognostic data, but have not been widely explored in paediatric cohorts. Herein, we use machine-learning methods to analyse 14 different serum parameters together and develop a prognostic model to predict 6-month outcomes in children with severe TBI.
A retrospective review of patients admitted to Cambridge University Hospital's Paediatric Intensive Care Unit between 2009 and 2013 with a TBI. The data for 14 admission serum parameters were recorded. Logistic regression and a support vector machine (SVM) were trained with these data against dichotimised outcomes from the recorded 6-month Glasgow Outcome Scale.
Ninety-four patients were identified. Admission levels of lactate, H+, and glucose were identified as being the most informative of 6-month outcomes. Four different models were produced. The SVM using just the three most informative parameters was the best able to predict favourable outcomes at 6 months (sensitivity = 80%, specificity = 99%).
Our results demonstrate the potential for highly accurate outcome prediction after severe paediatric TBI using admission laboratory data.</abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>Nature Publishing Group</pub><pmid>31349360</pmid><doi>10.1038/s41390-019-0510-9</doi><tpages>5</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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subjects | Brain Injuries - therapy Child Female Humans Machine Learning Male Medical prognosis Medical tests Patient Admission Patient admissions Pediatrics Traumatic brain injury Treatment Outcome |
title | Modelling outcomes after paediatric brain injury with admission laboratory values: a machine-learning approach |
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