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Soil conservation assessment via climate change and vegetation growth scenarios in the Nile River basin
Soil conservation by vegetation can mitigate soil erosion hazard and prevent reductions in food productivity. However, previous research applies little consideration to the interaction between vegetation and climate change in the estimation of future soil conservation change. Therefore, based on the...
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| Published in: | Journal of mountain science 2021-04, Vol.18 (4), p.863-877 |
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| cites | cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c364t-107eec44afa7de18b63eb36a8bbc05bf244651eae4d6f2f4a713d3f0d7967bcd3 |
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| container_title | Journal of mountain science |
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| creator | Liu, Hua Liu, Yan-xu Zhao, Wen-wu Peng, Da |
| description | Soil conservation by vegetation can mitigate soil erosion hazard and prevent reductions in food productivity. However, previous research applies little consideration to the interaction between vegetation and climate change in the estimation of future soil conservation change. Therefore, based on the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE), Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs, specifically RCP4.5 and RCP8.5), and the vegetation index and precipitation datasets, we built a multivariate regression equation that considers changes in vegetation growth under climate change scenarios in the context of soil conservation. Using the Nile River basin as a case study, via our established methods, we modelled and projected the impact of vegetation and climate change on future soil conservation between 2020 and 2100, where three main results were obtained: (1) under the scenarios of RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 from 2020 to 2100, soil conservation in the Nile Basin will first increase and then decrease, with its highest value in the years 2060, at 117.72 (t ha
−1
y
−1
), and 2070, at 134.39 (t ha
−1
y
−1
). (2) Soil conservation under RCP4.5 is lower than that under the RCP8.5 scenario, with a maximum difference of 27 (t ha
−1
y
−1
) in 2040 and a minimum difference of 0.2 (t ha
−1
y
−1
) in 2100. (3) The vegetation and climate change models in 2100 had soil conservation values of 110.77 (t ha
−1
y
−1
) under RCP4.5 and 38.70 (t ha
−1
y
−1
) under RCP8.5. In conclusion, although vegetation growth can increase soil conservation in the Nile River basin, the change in precipitation can offset the soil conservation enhanced by vegetation growth. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1007/s11629-020-6304-z |
| format | article |
| fullrecord | <record><control><sourceid>proquest_cross</sourceid><recordid>TN_cdi_proquest_journals_2511927234</recordid><sourceformat>XML</sourceformat><sourcesystem>PC</sourcesystem><sourcerecordid>2511927234</sourcerecordid><originalsourceid>FETCH-LOGICAL-c364t-107eec44afa7de18b63eb36a8bbc05bf244651eae4d6f2f4a713d3f0d7967bcd3</originalsourceid><addsrcrecordid>eNp1kE1LAzEQhoMoWKs_wFvA82q-mnSPUvyCouDHOWSzs9uUbbYm6Yr99aas4MnTDMzzzjAPQpeUXFNC1E2kVLKyIIwUkhNR7I_QhJYlLwhn9Dj3UrE8ofIUncW4JkSqck4nqH3rXYdt7yOEwSTXe2xihBg34BMenMG2cxuTANuV8S1g42s8QAtphNvQf6UVjha8Ca6P2HmcVoCfXQf41Q0QcGWi8-fopDFdhIvfOkUf93fvi8di-fLwtLhdFpZLkQpKFIAVwjRG1UDnleRQcWnmVWXJrGqYEHJGwYCoZcMaYRTlNW9IrUqpKlvzKboa925D_7mDmPS63wWfT2o2o7RkinGRKTpSNvQxBmj0NuQvw7emRB986tGnzj71wafe5wwbMzGz2UT42_x_6AcFHHsF</addsrcrecordid><sourcetype>Aggregation Database</sourcetype><iscdi>true</iscdi><recordtype>article</recordtype><pqid>2511927234</pqid></control><display><type>article</type><title>Soil conservation assessment via climate change and vegetation growth scenarios in the Nile River basin</title><source>Springer Link</source><creator>Liu, Hua ; Liu, Yan-xu ; Zhao, Wen-wu ; Peng, Da</creator><creatorcontrib>Liu, Hua ; Liu, Yan-xu ; Zhao, Wen-wu ; Peng, Da</creatorcontrib><description>Soil conservation by vegetation can mitigate soil erosion hazard and prevent reductions in food productivity. However, previous research applies little consideration to the interaction between vegetation and climate change in the estimation of future soil conservation change. Therefore, based on the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE), Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs, specifically RCP4.5 and RCP8.5), and the vegetation index and precipitation datasets, we built a multivariate regression equation that considers changes in vegetation growth under climate change scenarios in the context of soil conservation. Using the Nile River basin as a case study, via our established methods, we modelled and projected the impact of vegetation and climate change on future soil conservation between 2020 and 2100, where three main results were obtained: (1) under the scenarios of RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 from 2020 to 2100, soil conservation in the Nile Basin will first increase and then decrease, with its highest value in the years 2060, at 117.72 (t ha
−1
y
−1
), and 2070, at 134.39 (t ha
−1
y
−1
). (2) Soil conservation under RCP4.5 is lower than that under the RCP8.5 scenario, with a maximum difference of 27 (t ha
−1
y
−1
) in 2040 and a minimum difference of 0.2 (t ha
−1
y
−1
) in 2100. (3) The vegetation and climate change models in 2100 had soil conservation values of 110.77 (t ha
−1
y
−1
) under RCP4.5 and 38.70 (t ha
−1
y
−1
) under RCP8.5. In conclusion, although vegetation growth can increase soil conservation in the Nile River basin, the change in precipitation can offset the soil conservation enhanced by vegetation growth.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1672-6316</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1993-0321</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1008-2786</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1007/s11629-020-6304-z</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Heidelberg: Science Press</publisher><subject>Climate change ; Climate change models ; Climate models ; Earth and Environmental Science ; Earth Sciences ; Ecology ; Environment ; Geography ; Greenhouse effect ; Original Article ; Precipitation ; River basins ; Rivers ; Soil conservation ; Soil erosion ; Vegetation ; Vegetation growth ; Vegetation index</subject><ispartof>Journal of mountain science, 2021-04, Vol.18 (4), p.863-877</ispartof><rights>Science Press, Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, CAS and Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2021</rights><rights>Science Press, Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, CAS and Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2021.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c364t-107eec44afa7de18b63eb36a8bbc05bf244651eae4d6f2f4a713d3f0d7967bcd3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c364t-107eec44afa7de18b63eb36a8bbc05bf244651eae4d6f2f4a713d3f0d7967bcd3</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-7230-4906 ; 0000-0001-5342-354X ; 0000-0002-3571-1932 ; 0000-0003-1807-8888</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><link.rule.ids>315,783,787,27936,27937</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Liu, Hua</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Liu, Yan-xu</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhao, Wen-wu</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Peng, Da</creatorcontrib><title>Soil conservation assessment via climate change and vegetation growth scenarios in the Nile River basin</title><title>Journal of mountain science</title><addtitle>J. Mt. Sci</addtitle><description>Soil conservation by vegetation can mitigate soil erosion hazard and prevent reductions in food productivity. However, previous research applies little consideration to the interaction between vegetation and climate change in the estimation of future soil conservation change. Therefore, based on the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE), Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs, specifically RCP4.5 and RCP8.5), and the vegetation index and precipitation datasets, we built a multivariate regression equation that considers changes in vegetation growth under climate change scenarios in the context of soil conservation. Using the Nile River basin as a case study, via our established methods, we modelled and projected the impact of vegetation and climate change on future soil conservation between 2020 and 2100, where three main results were obtained: (1) under the scenarios of RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 from 2020 to 2100, soil conservation in the Nile Basin will first increase and then decrease, with its highest value in the years 2060, at 117.72 (t ha
−1
y
−1
), and 2070, at 134.39 (t ha
−1
y
−1
). (2) Soil conservation under RCP4.5 is lower than that under the RCP8.5 scenario, with a maximum difference of 27 (t ha
−1
y
−1
) in 2040 and a minimum difference of 0.2 (t ha
−1
y
−1
) in 2100. (3) The vegetation and climate change models in 2100 had soil conservation values of 110.77 (t ha
−1
y
−1
) under RCP4.5 and 38.70 (t ha
−1
y
−1
) under RCP8.5. In conclusion, although vegetation growth can increase soil conservation in the Nile River basin, the change in precipitation can offset the soil conservation enhanced by vegetation growth.</description><subject>Climate change</subject><subject>Climate change models</subject><subject>Climate models</subject><subject>Earth and Environmental Science</subject><subject>Earth Sciences</subject><subject>Ecology</subject><subject>Environment</subject><subject>Geography</subject><subject>Greenhouse effect</subject><subject>Original Article</subject><subject>Precipitation</subject><subject>River basins</subject><subject>Rivers</subject><subject>Soil conservation</subject><subject>Soil erosion</subject><subject>Vegetation</subject><subject>Vegetation growth</subject><subject>Vegetation index</subject><issn>1672-6316</issn><issn>1993-0321</issn><issn>1008-2786</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2021</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNp1kE1LAzEQhoMoWKs_wFvA82q-mnSPUvyCouDHOWSzs9uUbbYm6Yr99aas4MnTDMzzzjAPQpeUXFNC1E2kVLKyIIwUkhNR7I_QhJYlLwhn9Dj3UrE8ofIUncW4JkSqck4nqH3rXYdt7yOEwSTXe2xihBg34BMenMG2cxuTANuV8S1g42s8QAtphNvQf6UVjha8Ca6P2HmcVoCfXQf41Q0QcGWi8-fopDFdhIvfOkUf93fvi8di-fLwtLhdFpZLkQpKFIAVwjRG1UDnleRQcWnmVWXJrGqYEHJGwYCoZcMaYRTlNW9IrUqpKlvzKboa925D_7mDmPS63wWfT2o2o7RkinGRKTpSNvQxBmj0NuQvw7emRB986tGnzj71wafe5wwbMzGz2UT42_x_6AcFHHsF</recordid><startdate>20210401</startdate><enddate>20210401</enddate><creator>Liu, Hua</creator><creator>Liu, Yan-xu</creator><creator>Zhao, Wen-wu</creator><creator>Peng, Da</creator><general>Science Press</general><general>Springer Nature B.V</general><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7ST</scope><scope>7UA</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>F1W</scope><scope>H96</scope><scope>L.G</scope><scope>SOI</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7230-4906</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5342-354X</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3571-1932</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1807-8888</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>20210401</creationdate><title>Soil conservation assessment via climate change and vegetation growth scenarios in the Nile River basin</title><author>Liu, Hua ; Liu, Yan-xu ; Zhao, Wen-wu ; Peng, Da</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c364t-107eec44afa7de18b63eb36a8bbc05bf244651eae4d6f2f4a713d3f0d7967bcd3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2021</creationdate><topic>Climate change</topic><topic>Climate change models</topic><topic>Climate models</topic><topic>Earth and Environmental Science</topic><topic>Earth Sciences</topic><topic>Ecology</topic><topic>Environment</topic><topic>Geography</topic><topic>Greenhouse effect</topic><topic>Original Article</topic><topic>Precipitation</topic><topic>River basins</topic><topic>Rivers</topic><topic>Soil conservation</topic><topic>Soil erosion</topic><topic>Vegetation</topic><topic>Vegetation growth</topic><topic>Vegetation index</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Liu, Hua</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Liu, Yan-xu</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhao, Wen-wu</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Peng, Da</creatorcontrib><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Environment Abstracts</collection><collection>Water Resources Abstracts</collection><collection>Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management</collection><collection>ASFA: Aquatic Sciences and Fisheries Abstracts</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) 2: Ocean Technology, Policy & Non-Living Resources</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) Professional</collection><collection>Environment Abstracts</collection><jtitle>Journal of mountain science</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Liu, Hua</au><au>Liu, Yan-xu</au><au>Zhao, Wen-wu</au><au>Peng, Da</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Soil conservation assessment via climate change and vegetation growth scenarios in the Nile River basin</atitle><jtitle>Journal of mountain science</jtitle><stitle>J. Mt. Sci</stitle><date>2021-04-01</date><risdate>2021</risdate><volume>18</volume><issue>4</issue><spage>863</spage><epage>877</epage><pages>863-877</pages><issn>1672-6316</issn><eissn>1993-0321</eissn><eissn>1008-2786</eissn><abstract>Soil conservation by vegetation can mitigate soil erosion hazard and prevent reductions in food productivity. However, previous research applies little consideration to the interaction between vegetation and climate change in the estimation of future soil conservation change. Therefore, based on the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE), Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs, specifically RCP4.5 and RCP8.5), and the vegetation index and precipitation datasets, we built a multivariate regression equation that considers changes in vegetation growth under climate change scenarios in the context of soil conservation. Using the Nile River basin as a case study, via our established methods, we modelled and projected the impact of vegetation and climate change on future soil conservation between 2020 and 2100, where three main results were obtained: (1) under the scenarios of RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 from 2020 to 2100, soil conservation in the Nile Basin will first increase and then decrease, with its highest value in the years 2060, at 117.72 (t ha
−1
y
−1
), and 2070, at 134.39 (t ha
−1
y
−1
). (2) Soil conservation under RCP4.5 is lower than that under the RCP8.5 scenario, with a maximum difference of 27 (t ha
−1
y
−1
) in 2040 and a minimum difference of 0.2 (t ha
−1
y
−1
) in 2100. (3) The vegetation and climate change models in 2100 had soil conservation values of 110.77 (t ha
−1
y
−1
) under RCP4.5 and 38.70 (t ha
−1
y
−1
) under RCP8.5. In conclusion, although vegetation growth can increase soil conservation in the Nile River basin, the change in precipitation can offset the soil conservation enhanced by vegetation growth.</abstract><cop>Heidelberg</cop><pub>Science Press</pub><doi>10.1007/s11629-020-6304-z</doi><tpages>15</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7230-4906</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5342-354X</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3571-1932</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1807-8888</orcidid></addata></record> |
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| issn | 1672-6316 1993-0321 1008-2786 |
| language | eng |
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| source | Springer Link |
| subjects | Climate change Climate change models Climate models Earth and Environmental Science Earth Sciences Ecology Environment Geography Greenhouse effect Original Article Precipitation River basins Rivers Soil conservation Soil erosion Vegetation Vegetation growth Vegetation index |
| title | Soil conservation assessment via climate change and vegetation growth scenarios in the Nile River basin |
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