A methodology for calculating percentile values of annual direct normal solar irradiation series

A detailed knowledge of the solar resource is a critical point in the performance of an economic feasibility analysis of solar thermal electricity plants. In particular, the Direct Normal solar Irradiance (DNI) is the most determining variable in its final energy yield. Inter-annual variations of DN...

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Main Authors: Peruchena, Carlos M. Fernández, Ramírez, Lourdes, Silva, Manuel, Lara, Vicente, Bermejo, Diego, Gastón, Martín, Moreno, Sara, Pulgar, Jesús, Liria, Juan, Macías, Sergio, Gonzalez, Rocio, Bernardos, Ana, Castillo, Nuria, Bolinaga, Beatriz, Valenzuela, Rita X., Zarzalejo, Luis
Format: Conference Proceeding
Language:English
Subjects:
Annual variations
Critical point
Distribution functions
Economic analysis
Feasibility studies
Irradiance
Mathematical analysis
Methodology
Photovoltaic cells
Power plants
Solar energy
Solar heating
Viability
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container_volume 1734
creator Peruchena, Carlos M. Fernández
Ramírez, Lourdes
Silva, Manuel
Lara, Vicente
Bermejo, Diego
Gastón, Martín
Moreno, Sara
Pulgar, Jesús
Liria, Juan
Macías, Sergio
Gonzalez, Rocio
Bernardos, Ana
Castillo, Nuria
Bolinaga, Beatriz
Valenzuela, Rita X.
Zarzalejo, Luis
description A detailed knowledge of the solar resource is a critical point in the performance of an economic feasibility analysis of solar thermal electricity plants. In particular, the Direct Normal solar Irradiance (DNI) is the most determining variable in its final energy yield. Inter-annual variations of DNI can be large and seriously compromise the viability of solar energy projects. In this work, a methodology for evaluating the statistical properties of annual DNI series is presented for generating inputs to risk assessments in an economic feasibility analysis of a solar power plant. The methodology relies on the construction of a cumulative distribution function of annual DNI values, which allows for the evaluation of both mean and extreme climate characterization at a particular location in the long term.
doi_str_mv 10.1063/1.4949237
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source American Institute of Physics:Jisc Collections:Transitional Journals Agreement 2021-23 (Reading list)
subjects Annual variations
Critical point
Distribution functions
Economic analysis
Feasibility studies
Irradiance
Mathematical analysis
Methodology
Photovoltaic cells
Power plants
Solar energy
Solar heating
Viability
title A methodology for calculating percentile values of annual direct normal solar irradiation series
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