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Nutrition, diabetes and tuberculosis in the epidemiological transition

Diabetes prevalence and body mass index reflect the nutritional profile of populations but have opposing effects on tuberculosis risk. Interactions between diabetes and BMI could help or hinder TB control in growing, aging, urbanizing populations. We compiled data describing temporal changes in BMI,...

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Published in:PloS one 2011-06, Vol.6 (6), p.e21161
Main Authors: Dye, Christopher, Bourdin Trunz, Bernadette, Lönnroth, Knut, Roglic, Gojka, Williams, Brian G
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description Diabetes prevalence and body mass index reflect the nutritional profile of populations but have opposing effects on tuberculosis risk. Interactions between diabetes and BMI could help or hinder TB control in growing, aging, urbanizing populations. We compiled data describing temporal changes in BMI, diabetes prevalence and population age structure in rural and urban areas for men and women in countries with high (India) and low (Rep. Korea) TB burdens. Using published data on the risks of TB associated with these factors, we calculated expected changes in TB incidence between 1998 and 2008. In India, TB incidence cases would have increased (28% from 1.7 m to 2.1 m) faster than population size (22%) because of adverse effects of aging, urbanization, changing BMI and rising diabetes prevalence, generating an increase in TB incidence per capita of 5.5% in 10 years. In India, general nutritional improvements were offset by a fall in BMI among the majority of men who live in rural areas. The growing prevalence of diabetes in India increased the annual number of TB cases in people with diabetes by 46% between 1998 and 2008. In Korea, by contrast, the number of TB cases increased more slowly (6.1% from 40,200 to 42,800) than population size (14%) because of positive effects of urbanization, increasing BMI and falling diabetes prevalence. Consequently, TB incidence per capita fell by 7.8% in 10 years. Rapid population aging was the most significant adverse effect in Korea. Nutritional and demographic changes had stronger adverse effects on TB in high-incidence India than in lower-incidence Korea. The unfavourable effects in both countries can be overcome by early drug treatment but, if left unchecked, could lead to an accelerating rise in TB incidence. The prevention and management of risk factors for TB would reinforce TB control by chemotherapy.
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subjects Acquired immune deficiency syndrome
Adult
Age
Age composition
Aging
AIDS
Biology
Body mass
Body Mass Index
Body size
Chemotherapy
Demographics
Developing countries
Diabetes
Diabetes mellitus
Diabetes Mellitus - epidemiology
Diabetics
Diet therapy
Epidemiology
Female
Health risks
HIV
Human immunodeficiency virus
Humans
Incidence
India - epidemiology
Infections
Korea - epidemiology
LDCs
Male
Medicine
Mens health
Nutrition
Nutritional Status
Population
Population number
Populations
Risk analysis
Risk Factors
Risk management
Rural areas
Science Policy
Sexes
Side effects
Tropical diseases
Tuberculosis
Tuberculosis - epidemiology
Urban areas
Urbanization
Womens health
title Nutrition, diabetes and tuberculosis in the epidemiological transition
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